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Excellent article. I worked in fusion years ago and I even learned a few things about the politics of the ITER team that I did not know. The comparison with Ap
by FiatLuxDave 12y ago
Excellent article. I worked in fusion years ago and I even learned a few things about the politics of the ITER team that I did not know.
The comparison with Apollo or the Manhattan Project always comes up when discussing ITER. I truly hope that when it all comes together, that it is more of a Manhattan than an Apollo. The difference being, that once we built one atomic bomb, we kept building more and more and now it seems we may never be rid of them. Whereas with Apollo, we harnessed the political will to land on the Moon (multiple times even!) but once the political will dropped away, so did the path to the Moon, because Saturn Vs don't come cheap. If ITER ignites, but does not result in a path to cheaper, commercial use of fusion energy, then the next few generations may be in the same position with regards to fusion energy as my generation has been to space exploration.
This is why I tend to fall in Bob Hirsch's camp with regards to the faster, cheaper, smaller development of multiple fusion reactor concepts. Imagine if instead of developing the Saturn V for Apollo, that NASA had gone for many concepts from big rockets (e.g. Saturn V) to air launches (e.g. Pegasus) to suborbital balloons (e.g. JP aerospace) to space guns (e.g. HARP). Sure, the Russians would probably have beaten us to the Moon, but if a cheaper alternative to space launch had been found back when it was a national priority, we might have a Moonbase today.
The thing about gathering political will is that you have to have a clear target. The dangerous thing in the case of ITER, is that once that target (ignition) is achieved, the political will to do more beyond that goal may not be there. And ITER ignition alone does not answer our energy issues.
- dredmorbius 12y agoIs that Robert Hirsch of SAIC? References?
- FiatLuxDave 12y agoYes, that is correct. Long before he was known for his views on Peak Oil (which I'm not really in agreement with), he was known for his work in fusion. I find it interesting that his wikipedia page shows little detail about his early career. Here are some references: http://www.aero.umd.edu/html/sedwick/presentations/S9P1_Robert_Hirsch_Talk.pdf http://www.aero.umd.edu/html/sedwick/presentations/S9P1_Robe... http://www.issues.org/13.4/hirsch.htm http://www.issues.org/13.4/hirsch.htm http://fire.pppl.gov/fusion_critic_response_stacey.pdf http://fire.pppl.gov/fusion_critic_response_stacey.pdf (section V)