3 ms·

here's a more comprehensive, recent (10/8/14) study with plots showing exponential growth in transmission. They have projections out to january 2015 http://cu

by drhodes 12y ago

here's a more comprehensive, recent (10/8/14) study with plots showing exponential growth in transmission. They have projections out to january 2015 http://currents.plos.org/outbreaks/article/obk-14-0036-early-epidemic-dynamics-of-the-west-african-2014-ebola-outbreak-estimates-derived-with-a-simple-two-parameter-model/ http://currents.plos.org/outbreaks/article/obk-14-0036-early... Btw, reddit.com/r/ebola is doing a fine job collecting relevant news on the outbreak.

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jaekwon 12y ago
This study seems to be overly optimistic about the ability to control the outbreak... thus projecting 25K cases by the end of 2014 yet only projecting 140K cases overall.
jacquesm 12y ago
That's assuming the virus does not mutate over that many generations which may affect one of several crucial parameters governing how large the outbreak will be when we look back at it from the lens of 2020.