4 ms·

The EU commissioners would prefer everything to remain as it is because the UK government has promised an in-out referendum on the EU and, quite simply, they fi

The EU commissioners would prefer everything to remain as it is because the UK government has promised an in-out referendum on the EU and, quite simply, they figure there is more chance of the in vote winning if Scotland is still part of the UK at that time. So, the EU commissioners will say all they can to keep the UK together. However ... the tone will rapidly change if Scotland does go independent. There is zero chance that the EU will risk forcing a prosperous, educated country that is already compliant with EU laws out and make them spend several years re-applying, especially when there is a real chance that England will be leaving. The EU is a business, a very lucrative one. They need the rich countries to pay for the poor, uneducated, mafia-riddled ones to the south and the east. They already lost oil-rich Norway years ago, they won't make the same mistake again. Just watch, the EU will arrange for "special status" to kick in on the very first day of independence, nothing will change.

pi-err 12y ago
You're not helping the Scottish cause with junk info like this. (I'm French and pro-independence) "EU is a business", "north pays for south", "zero chance that the EU..." - all parts of a thought process that'd lead you to disaster . The EU is a complex, unique international organization designed to bring peace through unprecedented one-of-a-kind economic development. I get from Brussels insiders that a best-case scenario is an independent Scotland joining the eurozone, while rUK votes to stay in the EU with a "ad hoc" status. Now most member states have very different feelings about this. This forces the EU Commission to keep a low profile and stick to conservative answers on any independence question. You have to realize that there _is_ a risk that some member states can block a fast track accession to EU for iScotland. For instance iScotland could have to go through a 3-5 years roadmap and audit until the standard 12 points for accession are cleared (vs a best case, unprecedented 12-months fast track to the EU). As I see it, this is the biggest risk for iScotland. Even with EU Parliament on your side, member states have influence and power that could slow down the process, and expose the new country to a tough start. I hope the Yes wins, but I hope the win doesn't get ruined with unrealistic expectations. Wikipedia has a nice sum up of the complexity of this thing: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Future_enlargement_of_the_European_Union#Scotland https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Future_enlargement_of_the_Euro...

pi-err 12y ago

You're not helping the Scottish cause with junk info like this. (I'm French and pro-independence) "EU is a business", "north pays for south", "zero chance that the EU..." - all parts of a thought process that'd lead you to disaster . The EU is a complex, unique international organization designed to bring peace through unprecedented one-of-a-kind economic development. I get from Brussels insiders that a best-case scenario is an independent Scotland joining the eurozone, while rUK votes to stay in the EU with a "ad hoc" status. Now most member states have very different feelings about this. This forces the EU Commission to keep a low profile and stick to conservative answers on any independence question. You have to realize that there _is_ a risk that some member states can block a fast track accession to EU for iScotland. For instance iScotland could have to go through a 3-5 years roadmap and audit until the standard 12 points for accession are cleared (vs a best case, unprecedented 12-months fast track to the EU). As I see it, this is the biggest risk for iScotland. Even with EU Parliament on your side, member states have influence and power that could slow down the process, and expose the new country to a tough start. I hope the Yes wins, but I hope the win doesn't get ruined with unrealistic expectations. Wikipedia has a nice sum up of the complexity of this thing: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Future_enlargement_of_the_European_Union#Scotland https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Future_enlargement_of_the_Euro...