It's not about whether it gets turned down - it is what all the constituent countries get out of the negotiations - because each one has a veto. Spain for inst

It's not about whether it gets turned down - it is what all the constituent countries get out of the negotiations - because each one has a veto. Spain for instance would I'm sure be very interested in the fisheries policies in Scottish waters, something to buy off the Catalans. Belgium (another country with worries about secession movements) might have something to say about Anglo-Saxon capitalism, France certainly will. Germany will want to be strict about budget deficits. Other countries have agendas that don't perfectly align to Scotland's. They have what we want, and Scotland would have a deadline, that isn't the best position in the world to negotiate from. If you care about independence at (almost) any price then it shouldn't matter, but it is clear the SNP don't believe a majority of voters do.