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The article provide interesting information on the process for calculating the unemployment rate. But it also misleads in saying "real US unemployment rate."
by curiouscats 12y ago
The article provide interesting information on the process for calculating the unemployment rate.
But it also misleads in saying "real US unemployment rate."
Dr. Deming would say "there is no true value" of any measured process. The results depend on the process which includes the operation definitions.
http://management.curiouscatblog.net/2009/11/05/deming-there-is-no-true-value/ http://management.curiouscatblog.net/2009/11/05/deming-there...
Over time the value of a measure (as a proxy measure for some condition you care to monitor) can change.
http://management.curiouscatblog.net/2004/08/29/dangers-of-forgetting-proxy-nature-of-data/
It is important to update measures to avoid using proxies that lose value.
The unemployment rate certainly has proxy issues. But there is no "true unemployment rate." There are ways to change the process to focus on different things (make the proxy better matched to certain issues). But also it seems to me, unemployment rate needs to have other related measures that are considered in concert with the unemployment rate (such as the labor force participation rate, perhaps some measure of under-employment etc.).
Those paying much attention do use other measures in concert but the last few years I read lots of different people complaining that the unemployment rate doesn't capture various aspects of how the job market is poor (and often claiming the unemployment rate was "inaccurate" as though there was a platonic form of the actual rate divorced from the measure process.
- eruditely 12y agoNeg. At first glance obscurantist garbage. We do not need to hold ourselves down to long definitions we can use various definitions and arrive at meaningful conclusions. Probability has already solved most of these issues. Operant knowledge is not blanket relativism.