4 ms·

Yeah, I broadly agree that all of these are valid things to consider, particularly if you are quite risk averse. I take issue with (4) because if you have a mo

Yeah, I broadly agree that all of these are valid things to consider, particularly if you are quite risk averse. I take issue with (4) because if you have a mortgage you are already perfectly hedged against future housing costs. If you have a floating rate mortgage you are exposed to interest rates, but you can hedge against that by fixing your mortgage. I think a blanket "debt is bad" approach is naive, just as much as a "risk is bad" approach is naive. All other things being equal, you would rather not have any risk or any debt. But for the right price, you should be willing to take on both. What 'the right price' is will depend on many things, like your stage of life, your income, your safety nets (the state, your family) etc. If you take a "debt is bad" approach then you are saying that the right price is infinity, which doesn't seem sensible.

carsongross 12y ago
Regarding #4, no you are not. If housing prices tank, you are levered the wrong way, as millions of underwater homeowners have discovered. Owning your house outright, somewhat paradoxically, makes it less awful if prices decline. I agree that "debt is bad" is simplistic, but good debt, in my mind, is self liquidating debt taken on for productive enterprise. Mortgages are not self liquidating, and consumer credit is of course much, much worse. Mortgages at least have the benefit of good rates and tax advantages, although the size of them can often make the practical cash-flow ramifications dicey. You are right, of course: at some rate of return, a sure thing at 3% becomes less attractive than an alternative investment. And you have to look at your broader investment basket to put together the appropriate mix of risk and returns. If paying off your mortgage involves say 20% of you net worth, that's different than 90% of it. So, as always, it depends. I do like the thought experiment where you ask yourself "If I had my house paid off, would I take out a mortgage to make this investment?"

carsongross 12y ago

Regarding #4, no you are not. If housing prices tank, you are levered the wrong way, as millions of underwater homeowners have discovered. Owning your house outright, somewhat paradoxically, makes it less awful if prices decline. I agree that "debt is bad" is simplistic, but good debt, in my mind, is self liquidating debt taken on for productive enterprise. Mortgages are not self liquidating, and consumer credit is of course much, much worse. Mortgages at least have the benefit of good rates and tax advantages, although the size of them can often make the practical cash-flow ramifications dicey. You are right, of course: at some rate of return, a sure thing at 3% becomes less attractive than an alternative investment. And you have to look at your broader investment basket to put together the appropriate mix of risk and returns. If paying off your mortgage involves say 20% of you net worth, that's different than 90% of it. So, as always, it depends. I do like the thought experiment where you ask yourself "If I had my house paid off, would I take out a mortgage to make this investment?"