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But the evidence is in! That's what the paper is about! If deliberate practice were the Key to Success, then when you go to measure its effects, you'd expect to
by pjscott 12y ago
But the evidence is in! That's what the paper is about! If deliberate practice were the Key to Success, then when you go to measure its effects, you'd expect to see a lot of the variance in outcomes explained by it. Well, lots of studies went to measure, and that's not what they found.
For claims like this, absence of evidence really is evidence of absence. (You could state this more precisely in terms of conditional probabilities, if you're bored and feel like doing some basic math.)
- avz 12y agoNot so fast. You seem to assume that measurement in this case is simple and non-controversial. In fact measuring the amount of deliberate practice is very hard. How do you account for the difference in the types of activities individuals engaged in as children? How do you account for different levels of dedication and passion? How do you account for different amount of support from friends, family and institutions?
- istjohn 12y agoI'm confused. Everything you listed are things other than deliberate practice.