3 ms·
You're forecasting the future based on the state of technology at the present. That is unlikely to point you in the right direction.
by danshapiro 12y ago
You're forecasting the future based on the state of technology at the present. That is unlikely to point you in the right direction.
- robbrown451 12y agoWell I predict flying cars won't happen anytime soon either. Pretty much the same reason.
- jjoonathan 12y agoOn the contrary, it's quite possible for practical implementation details to hold back a field for hundreds of years. My favorite example is the hydrogen fuel cell. It was invented at a time when Abraham Lincoln was busy launching his first political career and still looked like this: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abraham_Lincoln#mediaviewer/File:Abraham_Lincoln_by_Nicholas_Shepherd,_1846-crop.jpg http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abraham_Lincoln#mediaviewer/Fil... yet 180 years later hydrogen fuel cells still aren't a competitive energy storage strategy. Less spectacular examples include flying cars and speech recognition / AI.
- baddox 12y agoActually, he's forecasting the future based on a misrepresentation of the present state of technology. Noise will not be a significant concern, which is obvious to anyone with any experience with larger multirotor aircraft.