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There are some great points here but I'm not entirely sold on the 'Right Brain Optimistic' , 'Left Brain Pessimistic' part. I'd say the Right Brain is often gre
by dejb 17y ago
There are some great points here but I'm not entirely sold on the 'Right Brain Optimistic' , 'Left Brain Pessimistic' part. I'd say the Right Brain is often great early warning mechanism for a lot of people (i.e. that gut feeling that something isn't right). If taken too far it would most likely be the source of phobias. It's like a 'black box probability engine'. Very powerful but difficult to debug.
From what I've read the Left Brain is the 'communicator' as well as the 'logician'. I suspect this is the reason why discussion of probabilities, risk and 'expected returns' are often fraught with confusion - because the Left Brain doesn't really know how to process these things. The Left Brain prefers to round probabilities to 0%, 100% or 'unknown/50%'. It seems like many of the science/policy debates in the world (and on HN) are caused by people having different rounding criteria and starting probabilities.
- zby 17y agoYeah - people tend to overestimate some risks - like car theft, flying airplains etc. - this is why insurance companies can make some money. This is in conflict with that hypothesis - the left-brain dominant would not do that because left brain is calculating, right-brain dominant would not do that because it is optimistic.