4 ms·
Sorry amigo, I gotta get to work. Here's my code I wrote last night, hope it makes sense: http://pastebin.com/79rmjmKr http://pastebin.com/79rmjmKr Typical re
by rm445 12y ago
Sorry amigo, I gotta get to work. Here's my code I wrote last night, hope it makes sense:
http://pastebin.com/79rmjmKr http://pastebin.com/79rmjmKr
Typical result:
494644 results in rooms less than 10: 449838 had 10 rooms (90.9%), 44806 had 100 rooms 9.1%
Note that anyone who finds themselves in a high-numbered room can draw the obvious conclusion. The question is, what can you infer about the situation if you find yourself in a low-numbered room?
To hammer the point, let say the coin toss decides between 1 room and ten million. If you find yourself in room One, do you still think the chance the coin has come up heads is 50%? If you do, don't tell me, write a letter to Monty Hall.
My vague ponderings about the actual doomsday problem is that it holds up, i.e. it's a reasonable argument that it makes eventual populations of say 10^400 simulated souls using the whole universe as a computer highly unlikely. But the sheer bigness of the possible-but-unlikely population leaves plenty of room for astronomical-sized future populations and doom isn't necessarily imminent in human terms.