3 ms·

Here's some context: http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hot-hand_fallacy http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hot-hand_fallacy

• ChuckMcM 12y ago
  Except the argument in sports is exactly this: > Athletes are not machines, and anything that can > affect their expectations (for example, success in > previous tries) should affect their performance—one > way or another. To put it another way, there is little > debate that a “cold hand” can exist: It is no surprise > that a player will be less successful if he or she is > sick, or injured, or playing against excellent > defense. Occasional periods of poor performance will > manifest themselves as a small positive time > correlation when data are aggregated. Basically the question of what factors could be present that would increase the success likely hood of a basketball scoring attempt, and then whether or not those factors can persist over time or if they are always just noise. And the myth part being that someone who believes they will be successful is more likely to succeed than someone who has no expectation of success. The science then is can the expectation help, and if so can it bias success in a statistically significant way.