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The Next Evolution of SCOTUS Predictions
- dang 12y agoUrl changed from http://arstechnica.com/science/2014/07/algorithm-predicts-us-supreme-court-decisions-70-of-time/ http://arstechnica.com/science/2014/07/algorithm-predicts-us..., which points to this.
- djent 12y agoNot very impressive, I would say, at 70%. Although there are some data points at 90% that interest me. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Wisdom_of_Crowds https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Wisdom_of_Crowds
- comex 12y agoSo the algorithm is correct 70% of the time, while (later in the article) the Supreme Court reverses 65.9% of its cases? This is not much of an improvement over always guessing "reverse".
- aaronharnly 12y agoYeah, I'm surprised to see them repeatedly reporting accuracy, when recall and precision are so widely established as the appropriate measures of binary classification quality.