Absolutely. Loses credibility by not discussing what he got wrong, and then calling this a prediction: "Predicted China’s reclaiming of Hong Kong and the exact

Absolutely. Loses credibility by not discussing what he got wrong, and then calling this a prediction: "Predicted China’s reclaiming of Hong Kong and the exact manner the handover would take place, 12 years before it happened." Britain had a 99 year lease which began in 1898. Predicting it would end in 1997 requires slightly-more-simple math than game theory. I would posit most people could have predicted that more than 12 years before it happened.