10 ms·

If It Prints, It Ships: 3D Printing and the Postal Service [pdf]

80 points by dzhao 12y ago

james33 12y ago
The postal service should be worried about 3D printing. Once mainstream home usage becomes commonplace, you would think shipping volume could drop substantially as people begin to buy things online that then instantly print without a need for shipping at all.
- ISL 12y ago
  The article details opportunities for USPS, highlighting their ability to ship last-mile, perhaps distributing from local 3D printers to homes.
- anigbrowl 12y ago
  I had the same thought, but I suspect quality > speed for most people, and they don't print often enough to justify personal investment in a high-end printing hardware. For example, my wife and I like photography and most of the pictures on our walls are ones we've taken, printed on canvas or high quality photo paper. But we don't own a high-end photo printer, nor do we want to do the work of mounting canvas on frames. I've worked with such devices, they're not that expensive, but I just don't see myself buying a wide-format printer any time soon. I'd rather pay someone else to do so a few times a year. By contrast, I have been thinking about getting a new laser printer for everyday use and reading long documents - I don't enjoy reading everything on a screen. I suspect that many people may end up owning a cheapie 3d printer for small things, but they'll outsource to a local hub when they want more than basic quality. I'm very into the idea of 3d printing, but the simpler, cheaper units are very limited - as evidenced by people at Maker Faires wearing plastic hats that they printed themselves. Home printing doesn't cut it for a lot of things; for example I use quite a few plastic implements in the ktichen but I would be quite hesitant to use home-printed kitchen implements of any kind.
- megablast 12y ago
  > The postal service should be worried about 3D printing. This is going to happen no matter what the postal service does, so they can fight a useless battle, or go with it.
- ben1040 12y ago
  3D printers don't print objects out of nothingness; they require feedstock of some sort. And as the USPS document notes, that's going to need to either be shipped to you or purchased locally.
anigbrowl 12y ago
This is a really excellent paper, full of forward-thinking ideas. One that jumped out at me was 'USPS facilities could server as 3d printing hubs.' However, I can also see other businesses lobbying against such innovation on the grounds that it would crowd out private sector offerings, which seems to be a common objection to allowing the USPS to offer more services at post offices. In Europe and Japan, post offices don't just deal with mail but serve as a one-stop shop for many interactions with government, from welfare payments to savings accounts. The legal status of the USPS is complicated the Constitution's postal mandate, ably discussed here if you like legal technicality: http://law.justia.com/constitution/us/article-1/39-post-office.html http://law.justia.com/constitution/us/article-1/39-post-offi...
- rubiquity 12y ago
  I would approve any business advancement by the USPS if, and only if, it meant less bullshit advertisements in my mailbox every afternoon.
  - sciguy77 12y ago
    It's actually the postal worker unions that are to blame for the piles of adverts you get each day. There have been a couple bills to end junk mail, but the unions fight them tooth and nail on the grounds that junk mail counts as free speech. Of course, much (some might say most) of the mail you get is crap. Without that crap there's less mail to move, and consequently less workers to do the moving.
- JonnieCache 12y ago
  >One that jumped out at me was 'USPS facilities could server as 3d printing hubs.' It made me think of how the BBC (presumably youtube etc as well?) have video caches in the exchanges of larger ISPs, to get the data as close to the last mile as possible.
  - icebraining 12y ago
    presumably youtube etc as well? Yeap. Even my ISP, which is only the fourth largest on my rather small country, has a local Youtube cache.
acgourley 12y ago
The article suggests the postal service 3D printing from their own facility. Is there is precedent of the post office even printing ink on paper and shipping it on behalf of others?
- golemotron 12y ago
  They are desperate and with good reason - they've been screwed by Congress.
- dzhao 12y ago
  They are just suggesting that 3D printing businesses locate themselves close to postal facilities so that they can quickly ship things. 3D printing hubs is a bit of a misleading heading.
- sp332 12y ago
  The only one I can think of was when people could write letters to soldiers in WWII by having them scanned onto microfilm, flown to a closer post office, then printed and delivered. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/V-mail http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/V-mail
golemotron 12y ago
The only way this is a win for the USPS is if the quality difference between commercial and personal 3D printers remains high. I don't think it will for long for most goods, but if it does local printers you drive to will be the winners. Expect the 3D equivalent of Kinkos and a resurgence of big box brick and mortal retail, albeit in a radically different form.
- sp332 12y ago
  Or if you just don't have room for a 3d printer in your apartment, or your landlord won't let you install proper ventilation.
- smoyer 12y ago
  +1 - 3D printers serve two markets: production of prototype quantities and the immediate gratification of "having this part now". The larger of those two goals pretty much precludes adding shipping time to the process, and the increasing ubiquity of 3D printers is making shipping unnecessary.
eglover 12y ago
Well... duh. Nothing here suggests any real change by the USPS, of course they would ship 3D printed material, it's the same stuff they already ship, it's not like it's different. The "could" dedicate space to it? That's exactly what they'd do with anything with increased popularity and deals. Like... Amazon shipping. Even a "company" with a monopoly can't avoid going bankrupt every 5 years and these buzzword ads won't help them. Give my letters (and 3D printed items) to someone who actually loses when they do a crap job, thanks.
- yzzxy 12y ago
  How does USPS have a monopoly on shipping package goods?
  - delbel 12y ago
    Via government mandate/fiat.
    - dragonwriter 12y ago
      Except that that's false, as the USPS doesn't have any government mandated monopoly on package delivery (it has a monopoly on letters only, and even that has exceptions.) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Private_Express_Statutes http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Private_Express_Statutes
    - yzzxy 12y ago
      That's a process by which they could receive a monopoly which they by no means hold. Or was FedEx just a fake company invented for Cast Away?
  - eglover 12y ago
    I didn't say they did. Read. "Even a "company" with a monopoly can't avoid going bankrupt every 5 years and these buzzword ads won't help them. Give my letters (and 3D printed items) to someone who actually loses when they do a crap job, thanks."
lmg643 12y ago
i'm mostly impressed that the USPS has the analytical resources to produce this. did they put this much thought into email, before revenues started cratering? what was their intelligent plan to manage runaway employee pensions? do we still need so many people physically shuffling around junk mail? (apologies to newman). seems like they have plenty of issues to grapple with that are closer to the present than the impact of 3d printing.
- sp332 12y ago
  If it weren't for a recent retirement pre-funding mandate, the USPS would still be profitable. http://about.usps.com/who-we-are/financials/annual-reports/fy2010/ar2010_4_002.htm http://about.usps.com/who-we-are/financials/annual-reports/f... Edit: Wait, that page says they'd still be at -$3B in 2010 without the pre-funding. And it looks like they haven't been paying into it since 2011. http://www.opm.gov/news/testimony/112th-congress/us-postal-service-in-crisis-proposals-to-prevent-a-postal-shutdown/ http://www.opm.gov/news/testimony/112th-congress/us-postal-s... So I guess I have no idea how profitable they are.
  - declan 12y ago
    That -$3B, or whatever it's ballooned to now, comes even though a federal law makes it a felony to compete with the USPS and deliver "non-urgent" mail. That's why FedEx always claims to be delivering "urgent" messages. Here's a Baltimore Sun article from 20 years ago when armed USPS police were actively enforcing this law: http://articles.baltimoresun.com/1994-01-07/news/1994007008_1_postal-priority-mail-extremely-urgent http://articles.baltimoresun.com/1994-01-07/news/1994007008_... If you give me a government-granted monopoly and a phalanx of federal agents empowered to put my competitors out of business, I'd have to be providing very poor service to be losing billions of dollars. Unfortunately, the USPS has managed to do just that.
    - jojopotato 12y ago
      Don't forgoet that the monopoly comes at the cost that they are required to keep a lot of post offices open in rural areas, which is a very unprofitable enterprise.
Chirael 12y ago
They may not have intended this to be public; the link no longer works
- Chirael 12y ago
  Still available from http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:http://www.uspsoig.gov/sites/default/files/document-library-files/2014/rarc-wp-14-011_if_it_prints_it_ships_3d_printing_and_the_postal_service.pdf&ion=1&espv=2 http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:http://... as long as it lasts

80 points by dzhao 12y ago

The postal service should be worried about 3D printing. Once mainstream home usage becomes commonplace, you would think shipping volume could drop substantially as people begin to buy things online that then instantly print without a need for shipping at all.

ISL 12y ago
The article details opportunities for USPS, highlighting their ability to ship last-mile, perhaps distributing from local 3D printers to homes.
anigbrowl 12y ago
I had the same thought, but I suspect quality > speed for most people, and they don't print often enough to justify personal investment in a high-end printing hardware. For example, my wife and I like photography and most of the pictures on our walls are ones we've taken, printed on canvas or high quality photo paper. But we don't own a high-end photo printer, nor do we want to do the work of mounting canvas on frames. I've worked with such devices, they're not that expensive, but I just don't see myself buying a wide-format printer any time soon. I'd rather pay someone else to do so a few times a year. By contrast, I have been thinking about getting a new laser printer for everyday use and reading long documents - I don't enjoy reading everything on a screen. I suspect that many people may end up owning a cheapie 3d printer for small things, but they'll outsource to a local hub when they want more than basic quality. I'm very into the idea of 3d printing, but the simpler, cheaper units are very limited - as evidenced by people at Maker Faires wearing plastic hats that they printed themselves. Home printing doesn't cut it for a lot of things; for example I use quite a few plastic implements in the ktichen but I would be quite hesitant to use home-printed kitchen implements of any kind.
megablast 12y ago
> The postal service should be worried about 3D printing. This is going to happen no matter what the postal service does, so they can fight a useless battle, or go with it.
ben1040 12y ago
3D printers don't print objects out of nothingness; they require feedstock of some sort. And as the USPS document notes, that's going to need to either be shipped to you or purchased locally.

anigbrowl 12y ago

This is a really excellent paper, full of forward-thinking ideas. One that jumped out at me was 'USPS facilities could server as 3d printing hubs.' However, I can also see other businesses lobbying against such innovation on the grounds that it would crowd out private sector offerings, which seems to be a common objection to allowing the USPS to offer more services at post offices. In Europe and Japan, post offices don't just deal with mail but serve as a one-stop shop for many interactions with government, from welfare payments to savings accounts. The legal status of the USPS is complicated the Constitution's postal mandate, ably discussed here if you like legal technicality: http://law.justia.com/constitution/us/article-1/39-post-office.html http://law.justia.com/constitution/us/article-1/39-post-offi...

rubiquity 12y ago
I would approve any business advancement by the USPS if, and only if, it meant less bullshit advertisements in my mailbox every afternoon.
- sciguy77 12y ago
  It's actually the postal worker unions that are to blame for the piles of adverts you get each day. There have been a couple bills to end junk mail, but the unions fight them tooth and nail on the grounds that junk mail counts as free speech. Of course, much (some might say most) of the mail you get is crap. Without that crap there's less mail to move, and consequently less workers to do the moving.
JonnieCache 12y ago
>One that jumped out at me was 'USPS facilities could server as 3d printing hubs.' It made me think of how the BBC (presumably youtube etc as well?) have video caches in the exchanges of larger ISPs, to get the data as close to the last mile as possible.
- icebraining 12y ago
  presumably youtube etc as well? Yeap. Even my ISP, which is only the fourth largest on my rather small country, has a local Youtube cache.

acgourley 12y ago

The article suggests the postal service 3D printing from their own facility. Is there is precedent of the post office even printing ink on paper and shipping it on behalf of others?

golemotron 12y ago
They are desperate and with good reason - they've been screwed by Congress.
dzhao 12y ago
They are just suggesting that 3D printing businesses locate themselves close to postal facilities so that they can quickly ship things. 3D printing hubs is a bit of a misleading heading.
sp332 12y ago
The only one I can think of was when people could write letters to soldiers in WWII by having them scanned onto microfilm, flown to a closer post office, then printed and delivered. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/V-mail http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/V-mail

golemotron 12y ago

The only way this is a win for the USPS is if the quality difference between commercial and personal 3D printers remains high. I don't think it will for long for most goods, but if it does local printers you drive to will be the winners. Expect the 3D equivalent of Kinkos and a resurgence of big box brick and mortal retail, albeit in a radically different form.

sp332 12y ago
Or if you just don't have room for a 3d printer in your apartment, or your landlord won't let you install proper ventilation.
smoyer 12y ago
+1 - 3D printers serve two markets: production of prototype quantities and the immediate gratification of "having this part now". The larger of those two goals pretty much precludes adding shipping time to the process, and the increasing ubiquity of 3D printers is making shipping unnecessary.

eglover 12y ago

Well... duh. Nothing here suggests any real change by the USPS, of course they would ship 3D printed material, it's the same stuff they already ship, it's not like it's different. The "could" dedicate space to it? That's exactly what they'd do with anything with increased popularity and deals. Like... Amazon shipping. Even a "company" with a monopoly can't avoid going bankrupt every 5 years and these buzzword ads won't help them. Give my letters (and 3D printed items) to someone who actually loses when they do a crap job, thanks.

yzzxy 12y ago
How does USPS have a monopoly on shipping package goods?
- delbel 12y ago
  Via government mandate/fiat.
  - dragonwriter 12y ago
    Except that that's false, as the USPS doesn't have any government mandated monopoly on package delivery (it has a monopoly on letters only, and even that has exceptions.) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Private_Express_Statutes http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Private_Express_Statutes
  - yzzxy 12y ago
    That's a process by which they could receive a monopoly which they by no means hold. Or was FedEx just a fake company invented for Cast Away?
- eglover 12y ago
  I didn't say they did. Read. "Even a "company" with a monopoly can't avoid going bankrupt every 5 years and these buzzword ads won't help them. Give my letters (and 3D printed items) to someone who actually loses when they do a crap job, thanks."

lmg643 12y ago

i'm mostly impressed that the USPS has the analytical resources to produce this. did they put this much thought into email, before revenues started cratering? what was their intelligent plan to manage runaway employee pensions? do we still need so many people physically shuffling around junk mail? (apologies to newman). seems like they have plenty of issues to grapple with that are closer to the present than the impact of 3d printing.

sp332 12y ago
If it weren't for a recent retirement pre-funding mandate, the USPS would still be profitable. http://about.usps.com/who-we-are/financials/annual-reports/fy2010/ar2010_4_002.htm http://about.usps.com/who-we-are/financials/annual-reports/f... Edit: Wait, that page says they'd still be at -$3B in 2010 without the pre-funding. And it looks like they haven't been paying into it since 2011. http://www.opm.gov/news/testimony/112th-congress/us-postal-service-in-crisis-proposals-to-prevent-a-postal-shutdown/ http://www.opm.gov/news/testimony/112th-congress/us-postal-s... So I guess I have no idea how profitable they are.
- declan 12y ago
  That -$3B, or whatever it's ballooned to now, comes even though a federal law makes it a felony to compete with the USPS and deliver "non-urgent" mail. That's why FedEx always claims to be delivering "urgent" messages. Here's a Baltimore Sun article from 20 years ago when armed USPS police were actively enforcing this law: http://articles.baltimoresun.com/1994-01-07/news/1994007008_1_postal-priority-mail-extremely-urgent http://articles.baltimoresun.com/1994-01-07/news/1994007008_... If you give me a government-granted monopoly and a phalanx of federal agents empowered to put my competitors out of business, I'd have to be providing very poor service to be losing billions of dollars. Unfortunately, the USPS has managed to do just that.
  - jojopotato 12y ago
    Don't forgoet that the monopoly comes at the cost that they are required to keep a lot of post offices open in rural areas, which is a very unprofitable enterprise.

Chirael 12y ago

They may not have intended this to be public; the link no longer works

Chirael 12y ago
Still available from http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:http://www.uspsoig.gov/sites/default/files/document-library-files/2014/rarc-wp-14-011_if_it_prints_it_ships_3d_printing_and_the_postal_service.pdf&ion=1&espv=2 http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:http://... as long as it lasts