3 ms·
You are guilty of letting a lot of really messy data ruin some really nice theory! So, with assumptions of stationary and independent increments, the Maunder m
by graycat 12y ago
You are guilty of letting a lot of really messy data ruin some really nice theory!
So, with assumptions of stationary and independent increments, the Maunder minimum shown in the graph
would have probability less than zip and zilch of
happening in which case we would reject the
assumptions.
You also are analyzing sun spots while the OP is talking about dangerous CMEs. It's been a while since I studied sun spots: You are saying that a sun spot is just a small case of a CME? Or is a dangerous CME not just a big sun spot but a different animal?
- mturmon 12y agoCMEs are associated with large or magnetically-complex sunspots. Simple sunspots are bipolar, they have a N and a S region with field lines arching up connecting one to the other. Complex sunspots are multipolar, and the field lines therefore cross in weird ways (in the 3D solar plasma). They can change configurations suddenly, releasing a lot of energy as the magnetic field lines re-arrange to a lower-energy configuration. This magnetic reconnection is what drives CMEs (roughly speaking).