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What If the Singularity Does Not Happen
- jacquesm 17y agoIt won't. In all likelyhood it will not, so you might as well start behaving responsibly and planning your old age. If - and this is a very very big if - it will happen then you will have worried for nothing about your old age, but the odds are so far against that it is probably very smart to behave as though it won't happen. Even if you secretly believe it will. Think about it this way: if the continuation of Moores law over 3 decades did not bring us strong AI then the problem is not in the hardware but in the software. We have a long long long way to go in software before we will be able to approach intelligence at the level of a dog, let alone something smarter than a smart human. The singularity, uploading and associated subjects are starting to generate the same feelings in me as over-unity energy production using zero point energy or magnetism.
- lsc 17y agosee, we are the singularity. It's happening now. It started with the printing press. I can't imagine what this world would seem like to someone born 100 years. I bet we will see that kind of rapid change in the next 50 years; then 25.... I mean, this has been happening for a long time now. /humans/ are the machine that can make better copies of itself that can make better copies of itself. Edit: this has been happening since before the printing press... but I think the printing press was the beginning of our rapid acceleration.