They may not be exactly the same, but a prediction market provides a quantitative way to measure confidence at both an individual and group level without requir

They may not be exactly the same, but a prediction market provides a quantitative way to measure confidence at both an individual and group level without requiring people to revise their estimates at a later time. This is arguably superior to a weighting based on differences in opinion prior to exposure to the consensus of a different group, and after exposure to that consensus.