538 predicted the winner in the group stage correctly in 28 of 48 matches. For teams advancing out of the group stage, they got 7 out of 16 right. Maybe the res

538 predicted the winner in the group stage correctly in 28 of 48 matches. For teams advancing out of the group stage, they got 7 out of 16 right. Maybe the results were "predictable", but only if you assume that people actually making predictions for some reason took no advantage of that predictability. (Source: http://www.sportingintelligence.com/2014/06/24/bankers-and-bookies-oust-fifa-as-better-bets-for-world-cup-forecasts-240601/ http://www.sportingintelligence.com/2014/06/24/bankers-and-b...)