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My understanding is that bookies work on the risk neutral probability, not on any predictive power.
by Ntrails 12y ago
My understanding is that bookies work on the risk neutral probability, not on any predictive power.
- jarvuschris 12y ago^^ this. Statistics help them average out their wins/losses across an entire season. But if the bookie's business model was to predict only the final game of each season and make odds for it they would _not_ be in business for long