Neymar is Brazil's talisman. A majority of their goals in this world cup, and quite a large percentage of their goals since he made his debut have come through

Neymar is Brazil's talisman. A majority of their goals in this world cup, and quite a large percentage of their goals since he made his debut have come through his direct influence. Ignoring this was the biggest mistake in 538's prediction. Maybe football predictions needs a mix of stats and social psychology! Thiago Silva is thought to be the best centre back in the world by most people. And by quite some distance. He provided leadership and organised that back four. Luiz, Marcelo, Maicon and Dante have never exhibited leadership qualities for their clubs. I think that by suggesting Willian and Dante and Alves (even though Alves is ranked highly in the Guardian's top 100 list, he plays in the wrong position) would be adequate replacements was the biggest mistake.