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> I am never going to be a billionaire and you won't be either. i'm pretty sure at least one or two billionaires read HN, so, keeping in mind the audience, you
by beachstartup 12y ago
> I am never going to be a billionaire and you won't be either.
i'm pretty sure at least one or two billionaires read HN, so, keeping in mind the audience, you're probably wrong.
- sanoli 12y agoone or two out of how many? That's like Usain Bolt saying "if I can break the 100 WR, so can you" in a forum where Asafa Powell also hangs out.
- beachstartup 12y agono, what gp is saying is "i'll never be usain bolt so why would i ever want to be a runner?"
- onion2k 12y agoWhile he's 'wrong' in the strictest sense that there might be someone reading who'll go on to make billions, anyone reading that comment and thinking "I will be!" is much more likely to be wrong. The chance of one person in a pool of thousands becoming a billionaire is a great deal more likely than any individual making it happen, even though both are very unlikely. So probabilistically he's right.
- gambiting 12y agoYou can't win Tour de France if you don't start cycling. With his attitude there is no point in getting on the bike in the first place, because probabilistically it's unlikely you will ever win, right?
- onion2k 12y agoI think the rational is more like "You can't win the Tour De France, so stop worrying about that goal because it's essentially unattainable, and do something ambitious-but-achievable instead."
- dragonwriter 12y agoIf your only positive payoff point from cycling is "win the Tour de France", yes, you are almost certainly better off doing something else. OTOH, if more modest acheivements would justify the investment of time and money and winning the Tour de France would be a crowning, but not necessary to justify the effort, acheivement, sure, start cycling...