2 ms·
Can interpret revolution in two ways. Rifles and molotovs, or as the opposite of evolutionary. In the first sense you have to balance it is historically unlik
by VLM 12y ago
Can interpret revolution in two ways. Rifles and molotovs, or as the opposite of evolutionary.
In the first sense you have to balance it is historically unlikely on any given date although historically highly likely over time. Like dying of old age, my odds of doing that this year are quite low, but I'm under no illusion of immortality. Also its a funny stereotype that all riots / revolutions happen when someone is claiming they'll never risk it. I'm sure someone was saying the same thing in minority neighborhoods in the 60s right before they started burning.
In the second sense it seems highly likely. Lets build all our infrastructure and culture around everyone being middle class, and then destroy the middle class. By infrastructure I don't just mean streets, but employment, corporation, "consumer culture", middle class values, all that. 2000 to 2010 was very evolutionary, take the middle class in 2000 and make them a little smaller and a littler poorer and a little lower disposable income and you pretty much have 2010, and similar in previous decades. Take my grannie in 1980 and air drop her in 2010 if she were alive and she would pretty much recognize society, our peaks would look worse than her deepest recessions but it would at least be recognizable. The pace of change will be faster in in the future and more dramatic, 2010 to 2040 is going to look a lot more like 1860-1890 or 1920-1950 than the relatively stable and evolutionary 1980 to 2010.