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This is an aside, but I take exception to their figure, "Nowhere to put your money". I find it manipulative. Look, I quickly rearranged their figure by just r
by logicallee 12y ago
This is an aside, but I take exception to their figure, "Nowhere to put your money". I find it manipulative.
Look, I quickly rearranged their figure by just reversing the order of the 6 tranches (which is arbitrary, and not actually connected - though they seem that way). Original:
http://imgur.com/6my8mqu http://imgur.com/6my8mqu
Reversing the order of the 6 charts:
http://imgur.com/mq61KrL http://imgur.com/mq61KrL
Just flip back and forth! It shows a different impression. I haven't changed any of the data.
The original impression only exists because they sorted the six downward (by end-point of each of the 6 charts - they even make those end-points bold dots). That's an awful shifty way to tell a story of something moving down over time.... Plus - how did they select these six? Indonesian Stocks - Manhattan Office buildings? Could it be they selected six that fit well together? (Mine, lacking this preselection, is way more jumpy.)
That said, I enjoyed most of the article and don't like this sleight-of-hand, which calls it into question for me.
- JimboOmega 12y agoThe point isn't so much the ordering, but that they are all - across different traditional returns - outside of historical norms. It's more about the grey bar - wherever it is, the asset is below it or at about the bottom.
- logicallee 12y agoAnd why do the seven years 2004-2011 provide the "historical norms"? Regardless, it is a rather small point and I will readily agree that all six assets have been falling. But arrange them vertically - or better yet, superimpose them - instead of listing them side-by-side, sorted in descending order by 2014 value and selected to dovetail together! and the story isn't nearly as clear.... Just try it. The graph is set up to tell a macro story far beyond 2 years. It looks hastily like a 12-year story of rising from 6% to a high of under 8 and falling sharply and steadily down to 3 (briefly under 2). But that's not what the graph says at all. It just looks that way visually.