4 ms·
Sorry for the late reply, I didn't recognize your answer earlier. Is there some comment notification option on hn that I missed? The forbes article you quoted
by bildung 12y ago
Sorry for the late reply, I didn't recognize your answer earlier. Is there some comment notification option on hn that I missed?
The forbes article you quoted is a bit problematic because the data given are voluntary answers. In studies like these there always is the problem of a potentially skewed return rate: Given a return rate of 30%, what is the wealth inheritance quota of the other 70%? My speculation would be that someone who is proud of the fruit of his own hard work (the quoted local business owner) is more likely to answer such a survey. On the other hand some rich person who found a clever way to unofficially inherit parts of the own wealth while avoiding the correlating taxes won't answer such a survey.
At least the second of the blogs.wsj.com studies is self-selected, too. I couldn't find the papers for the two other quotes because the sources were too vague.
It's better to use data sources like tax income of states. IMHO even better is the concept of social mobility (the wikipedia article is quite good: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_mobility http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_mobility), as it also encompasses factors like the parents' social contacts and educational chances. The studies cited there all use official, non-self-selected data and sometimes even proper longitudinal studies. In the results presented there the USA has the the lowest intergenerational vertical social mobility of all researched OECD countries (i.v.s.m. means the probability of a child to get into a higher (or lower) class than its parents live in).
An example for Germany: The probability of a child of workers to get a degree from a university is 17 times lower than that of a child with academic parents (source: http://www.deutschlandfunk.de/geschlossene-gesellschaft-uber-die-verteilung-von.media.09812bea2e59b93a7e5a15894f44b32d.pdf http://www.deutschlandfunk.de/geschlossene-gesellschaft-uber...).
Yes, social mobility is not the same as inherited wealth, because it's a result of a combination of inheritance and other factors. On the plus side, the empirical data it's based on is of comparibly high quality. The problem is that monetary (as opposed to social etc.) wealth is pretty hard to measure even given government data. In Germany for example the data for people having income is more or less 100% available. But the richer you are, the less probable it is for you to have income: The money then comes from capital gains, rent etc. These are way harder to measure, e.g. the capital gains could get collected by a corporation and not an individual. The corporations money only gets tapped on demand (=saved inside the corporation hull until retirement). And the child of the owner has a counsulting contract with that company. Legally, thats not inheritance at all, but practically it pretty much is.