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They say that called the US Population correct at 395m, when it's 316m. It was 191m in 1964. So instead of over 100% increase it was 65%. Doesn't feel close
by loumf 12y ago
They say that called the US Population correct at 395m, when it's 316m. It was 191m in 1964. So instead of over 100% increase it was 65%. Doesn't feel close to me. For something like this, where we have good models (for example Social Security needs to predict US pop correctly) -- need to be a lot closer to call it "Correct".
Looks like they misread the baby boomer trend -- and didn't predict the effect of widespread, effective, legal birth-control, women entering the workplace in larger numbers, etc.
- loumf 12y agoAccording to this: http://www.nap.edu/openbook.php?record_id=9828&page=43 http://www.nap.edu/openbook.php?record_id=9828&page=43 The UN 30 year projections for the US/Australia/Japan group is around 5% error.