I think a lot of the discussion here assumes that smart people are unable to make proper decisions under uncertainty. That has not been my experience. I've fo

I think a lot of the discussion here assumes that smart people are unable to make proper decisions under uncertainty. That has not been my experience. I've found that truly smart people are able to discern when there is uncertainty and apply the proper analysis using probabilities. They're also able to sanitize the inputs to avoid the garbage-in, garbage-out problem. Perhaps the "smart" people he is referencing are not so smart?