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I found that overconfidence is the worst. In part everyone thinks "I know my work, leave me alone" but interdependencies mean that even if everyone is 90% conf
by mathattack 12y ago
I found that overconfidence is the worst. In part everyone thinks "I know my work, leave me alone" but interdependencies mean that even if everyone is 90% confident, large projects slip. And most people's 90% confidence is really only 50% accurate.
The first antidote is educating people about interdependencies and overconfidence. The second is introducing management.
- alphagenerator 12y agoI think projecting overconfidence is a social/political survival strategy. The 50% accurate thing is just the hidden reality everyone acknowledges. It's sort of like how people are polite when confronted with ugly babies.