Their analysis is not quite different if they agree on 2 out of 3. Also, both are good, it's pretty much the prediction anyone into the World Cup would make at

Their analysis is not quite different if they agree on 2 out of 3. Also, both are good, it's pretty much the prediction anyone into the World Cup would make at this point. Someone would bet Argentina #2 if the have faith Messi will play what he's used to, or Netherlands if they consider the actual performance in this cup. This reflects 538's stronger bias for player skill score, while Wolfram seems to adjust more for the past results.