4 ms·
They're bracket prediction just picks the higher ranked team every time...
by IpV8 12y ago
They're bracket prediction just picks the higher ranked team every time...
- skj 12y agoyes, and?
- TallGuyShort 12y agoI'm not sure exactly what they're referring to, but they may mean that in a series of Monte Carlo simulations, the higher ranked team doesn't win every time, they win with a higher probability. Which means that (probably) more of the outcomes result in them winning, but (probably) not all of them. The article did say they were doing Monte Carlo simulations but I don't see where they're not, except for when they define the most likely bracket (in which case choosing the higher-ranked team every time is correct).