By design games that are popular end up having a certain amount of random noise in them, otherwise they would be terrible to watch. Furthermore, teams are run b

By design games that are popular end up having a certain amount of random noise in them, otherwise they would be terrible to watch. Furthermore, teams are run by rational actors who have seen fit to put millions of dollars into getting slightly better players, which seems to suggest that there is a certain amount of talent involved in winning the game. So his conclusion that a 3:2 beat means that there is only a 5:8 chance that a team is better, perfectly makes sense in my mind. Popular sports are fun because they are close to watch.