Have a look at http://www.skepticalscience.com/climate-models.htm http://www.skepticalscience.com/climate-models.htm (there are many other links available, but

Have a look at http://www.skepticalscience.com/climate-models.htm http://www.skepticalscience.com/climate-models.htm (there are many other links available, but that one has a nice graph of the data from "The Copenhagen Diagnosis" [1]). The correlation between the recorded satellite data and the previous 9 years of IPCC predicted data shows that the models are, if anything, conservative. There's more up to date data in the IPCC 2014 report [2] as far as I know. EDIT: Please note that IPCC web resources are terrible for searching. They have linked powerpoint documents and PDFs, but it's very hard to just search the data from their front end. Does anyone know of a nice HTML version of all of the IPCC resources? [1] http://www.copenhagendiagnosis.com/ http://www.copenhagendiagnosis.com/ [2] https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/wg2/ https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/wg2/