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> but the author completely brushed off the entire reason why investors are valuing it at $17 billion. The investors "value" it at $17 billion because there i
by NoMoreNicksLeft 12y ago
> but the author completely brushed off the entire reason why investors are valuing it at $17 billion.
The investors "value" it at $17 billion because there is a remarkable lack of investment opportunities in general, and an unremarkable lack of investment opportunities with the payoff potential that modern investors are chasing.
If everyone wants to strike it rich and become the next billionaire (or, if you're already a billionaire, then a multi-billionaire), you'll invest absurd amounts of money into whatever you can find. Mundane opportunities might take decades to double your wealth, if not more. And what else are you going to do, spend it?
This doesn't just mean that bizarre concepts that aren't worth anything soon get obscene valuations, it means more modestly smart ideas get obscene valuations too, supposing their true worth is as of yet undetermined.
Too much money to invest, not enough opportunities = weird shit.
- xivzgrev 12y agoTotally agree - how many opportunities are there for large-scale investment in private companies with the growth Uber has been seeing?
- NoMoreNicksLeft 12y agoYeh, but how likely is it to payoff as much as they're hoping for organically? My guess is that's pretty close to zero, probability-wise. Which should tend to discourage such investment. The only reason it isn't discouraged is because the behavior of crazy investment becomes its own semi-unintentional pump and dump scheme. The initial investors can strike it rich, even if Uber's not really worth $17 billion in the long run... just so long as the second-wave investors think that it's really worth $20-something billion. Investment really isn't even investment anymore, so much as it is gambling