3 ms·
Is 3% in three years really "monumental" progress? I honestly don't know much about the issue, but those numbers hardly seem monumental to me.
by npizzolato 12y ago
Is 3% in three years really "monumental" progress? I honestly don't know much about the issue, but those numbers hardly seem monumental to me.
- ajb 12y agoIt's been on an exponential growth curve for a number of years, and the doubling time recently decreased to about 8 months. Whether that continues is of course anyone's guess, but if it does, after another three years it would be at 20-40% (depending on whether you take the recent trend (http://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1V1MLaAEiuNI99s7NO2ZgQ7q3DPgaTkyF0dkwf2zde_4/gviz/chartiframe?oid=265198377 http://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1V1MLaAEiuNI99s7NO2ZgQ...) or the longer term trend (http://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1V1MLaAEiuNI99s7NO2ZgQ7q3DPgaTkyF0dkwf2zde_4/gviz/chartiframe?oid=254222218 http://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1V1MLaAEiuNI99s7NO2ZgQ...)
- npizzolato 12y agoI can't access either of those documents. But looking at the original graph in the parent, I wouldn't be so quick to call it exponential growth. It certainly looks like it could be, but it's easy to confuse exponential growth with slightly increasing, but still fundamentally linear growth when you're only going from 0.5% to 3.5% over three years. There's no way I would look at that graph and confidently say it's going to be 20-40% in another three years when the last three have been, well, disappointing.