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> China's mass production model then? How do you propose jump-starting that? By loans made by the private or public sectors for the purpose of developing large
by cornholio 12y ago
> China's mass production model then? How do you propose jump-starting that?
By loans made by the private or public sectors for the purpose of developing large scale productive capacities ? Craftsmen can't compete with industrial production, there is a minimal scale problem.
> microlending helps them create a job, or sustain it themselves rather than looking for one.
A $50 loan can't do that. You will not get an education and you will not build a business with $50, not even in the poorest village on Earth. You might help a small business owner solve a crisis situation and find some stability.
The source of poverty is lack of investment, micro-loans will drain resources out of the community (principal + interest) and leave very little actual productive capital behind.
While the idea as initially conceived by Yunus was well intentioned, the focus on lending (as opposed to developing and building) has transformed it into a form of loan sharking. Many of the newer Microlending networks that operate in India have focused so tightly on performance and profit and so little on the welfare of the clients that it has resulted in a slew of suicides and assorted tragedies:
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-12-28/suicides-among-borrowers-in-india-show-how-men-made-a-mess-of-microcredit.html http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-12-28/suicides-among-borr...
Edit: the example you provide is just that, an anecdote. It's certainly possible, but is the dominant story or the exception ? At 20% interest rate in US dollars, plus any volatility the local currency will induce, we are talking about credit card level rates, and not business loans. The introductory loan in 50 to 150$, if you need more you need to build credit, just like credit cards. How well are the borrowers and their scheme selected ? What's to prevent it from becoming a way for poor families to finance interest bearing consumption, just like a credit card ?
On a case by case basis, there are opportunities for development that can withstand 20% interest because the local need for that service is so great, thus the amortization is very rapid. There is a massive risk in this internet driven model that borrowers are selected solely for their ability to repay, and that scale and growth becomes the driving factors.
You will NOT spur development by simply lending money to the poor, quite the contrary you will lock them into a high debt, high interest form of consumption that is all too familiar to poor families in the West.
- viraptor 12y ago> You will not get an education and you will not build a business with $50 It's not $50 on the borrower's side. It's about that amount on the lender's side - which makes up a small part of a ~hundreds/thousands dollar loan. That can achieve a lot. Have a look at the actual list of requests - most of them are around $500 total.
- SimpleXYZ 12y ago>micro-loans will drain resources out of the community That is so not how capitalism works. Money is a means to induce labor. Right now there is a lot of human capital in developing countries that is wasted because there is no financial capital to fuel it. Imagine a young person willing to labor 18 hours a day building widgets. Instead he just sits around because he can't find a job building widgets (or afford the materials to buy the raw materials.)
- cornholio 12y agoThe key phrase you leave out is "and leave very little actual productive capital behind". People does not equal human capital, you need educated and experienced people. The only way the borrowers can repay the USD principal + interest back to the external financiers is to participate in world trade, to export or at least substitute the import of widgets from industrialized nations. Will a micro-loan create the conditions for such competitive production ? Hard to imagine.