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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lady_tasting_tea http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lady_tasting_tea "David Salsburg[5] reports that a colleague of Fisher, H. Fairfield
by KC8ZKF 12y ago
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lady_tasting_tea http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lady_tasting_tea
"David Salsburg[5] reports that a colleague of Fisher, H. Fairfield Smith, revealed that in the test, the woman got all eight cups correct.[6] The chance of someone who just guesses getting all correct, assuming she guesses that four had the tea put in first and four the milk, would be only 1 in 70 (the combinations of 8 taken 4 at a time)."
- leoedin 12y agoThe Sheffield study was inspired by Fisher's early experiment. I don't think a single study performed in 1935 with a single participant provides indisputable proof though, especially given that a later study with 94 participants and more rigorous statistical and experimental methods found no clear difference. It's hard to guess now what factors lead to the lady correctly guessing all 8 cups - perhaps the experiment was poorly designed, perhaps she had exceptional tasting skills, or perhaps it was truly chance (1 in 70 isn't actually exceptionally low odds).