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Nowhere was it stated the coin was 100% guaranteed to be fair. You are missing the point of my original example. My point was you can estimate the probability
by Houshalter 12y ago
Nowhere was it stated the coin was 100% guaranteed to be fair. You are missing the point of my original example.
My point was you can estimate the probability of a hypothesis by looking at the data. E.g. is it a fair or biased coin, and see how many times it came up heads or tails. Or are female named hurricanes more likely to kill than male ones or not?
- coherentpony 12y ago>Nowhere was it stated the coin was 100% guaranteed to be fair. I agree completely. >You are missing the point of my original example. No I wasn't. I was just stating the possible scenarios (of which yours was one) so that others reading could glean the point a little more easily. Perhaps I failed in this regard, but I certainly understood what you were trying to convey. >My point was you can estimate the probability of a hypothesis by looking at the data. E.g. is it a fair or biased coin, and see how many times it came up heads or tails. Or are female named hurricanes more likely to kill than male ones or not? Yes, I completely agree.