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I think using Bayesian methods is a good thing. The reservation I have about this post is that it's motivated as A/B testing, which in classical frequentist tes
by ballison 12y ago
I think using Bayesian methods is a good thing. The reservation I have about this post is that it's motivated as A/B testing, which in classical frequentist testing usually equates to a null hypothesis that some parameter is equal in two populations (in this example, conversion rate under method A is equal to conversion rate under method B). The rest of the post then describes a test of a single population against a known value (is the conversion rate under method B = 5%).
These are not the same problems at all, and it's not clear how the authors propose to extend the tests they're informally describing to the test of equality of a parameter in two populations. It is possible in a Bayesian framework, but it's not this simple.
- kobyszcze 12y agoThanks for the comment. We do look at comparing proportions in two samples (have a look at our calculator: http://developers.lyst.com/bayesian-calculator/ http://developers.lyst.com/bayesian-calculator/). The way we do this is by constructing a posterior distribution of differences between the two proportions through taking samples from the proportion posterior distributions and taking their difference. But yes, we should have made it more obvious in the post!