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I think you may be discounting non-linearities in the progress of automation due to machine learning and AI; assuming AI makes massive strides in 100 years (whi

by jal278 12y ago

I think you may be discounting non-linearities in the progress of automation due to machine learning and AI; assuming AI makes massive strides in 100 years (which seems almost certain), there may be very very little (if anything) that humans can do better (or more cost effectively) than intelligent machines.

nhebb 12y ago
In virtual space that is more meaningful than in physical space. Manufacturing automation relies on fixtures, tooling, and material movement. Having been a industrial engineer in a variety of industries, I can think of only a small handful of products that would lend themselves to full automation, and even those would require enormous upfront capital costs.
- jal278 12y ago
  I appreciate your point, but I think you're wrong, given a sufficiently powerful AI -- one that is truly more intelligent than a human, which is a real possibility in the next 100 years. The smarter-than-human AI would be better than us at everything, including designing, controlling, repairing, programming, etc., a general-purpose humanoid robot