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I think you might be misinterpreting the graphic. What they're doing makes sense to me. Could you explain why you're saying "they are using their most likely co
by tedsanders 12y ago
I think you might be misinterpreting the graphic. What they're doing makes sense to me. Could you explain why you're saying "they are using their most likely correct score to determine the match winner"?
For example, take a look at group C. Japan has three most likely scores of 1-1, whereas Greece has two 1-1s and a 0-1, yet Greece is expected to advance. It seems clear they're using the win probabilities, not the most likely scores, to determine who advances.
- joosters 12y agoI may be getting confused here, but the visualisation doesn't help things. (Plus the original message I'm replying to seems to have been deleted) The top-level 'front page' of the table seems to have a colour code of blue for match winners. But in the group H KOR:ALG game, both teams are coloured white. Yet, their percentage chances indicate that Korea is the most likely winner of this match. Though the 'who advances' bit does seem to be properly calculated from their win chances, as you say.