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Interesting. How do you feel about the theory of Kondratiev Waves? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kondratiev_wave http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kondratiev_wave

• chipsy 12y ago
  It's harder to build a rich interpretation from K-Wave theory. The beauty of the Strauss-Howe formulation is in its ability to be an coarse interpretive framework for historical events - to say something about historical societies and answer questions about how and why they made those decisions. I wouldn't say K-Waves are something to dismiss, just that they're not as much fun to play with and think about. And that is for me the more important aspect of these "long cycle" models - whether or not they successfully predict things, the act of testing the model refines my own thinking about the world, too.
  • digitalengineer 12y ago
    Thank you! Good comments is the reason why I enjoy HN. Have you heard about Martin Armstrong? He writes about waves with regards to economic activities and stuff going back to Roman times. Something to do with π. I'm not sure I'd follow his advice with my wallet, but he did move in high circles and usually does make for an interesting read (esp. the historical stuff). : http://armstrongeconomics.com/1113-2/ http://armstrongeconomics.com/1113-2/
    • chipsy 12y ago
      Interesting link. I've not seen Armstrong's work before, I'll be checking it out.