>More worrying is that it's often not possible to persuade someone who is swayed in the wrong direction, because they just don't have the base level of knowledg

>More worrying is that it's often not possible to persuade someone who is swayed in the wrong direction, because they just don't have the base level of knowledge to allow it. I think that may be oversimplifying things. Anyway, I liked chapter 5 of "Probability Theory: The Logic of Science" http://cdn.preterhuman.net/texts/science_and_technology/Probability%20Theory%20-%20The%20Logic%20Of%20Science.pdf http://cdn.preterhuman.net/texts/science_and_technology/Prob... ...the impatient should skip to the last paragraph on page 129 to get to the gist of how rational people can come to different conclusions when presented with the same data.