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I think he's a huckster. Intelligence is not a function of CPU power, and all his AI predictions so far have failed. The singularity seems to me like science
by JohnHaugeland 12y ago
I think he's a huckster.
Intelligence is not a function of CPU power, and all his AI predictions so far have failed.
The singularity seems to me like science fiction. Theory after data, not before.
- Houshalter 12y agoI sort of agree but I think his arguments are more complex than just CPU power. Which isn't even entirely wrong, machine learning has advanced a lot recently because computers are finally big enough. Kurzweil has a pretty good prediction track record for what it's worth: http://lesswrong.com/lw/gbi/assessing_kurzweil_the_results/ http://lesswrong.com/lw/gbi/assessing_kurzweil_the_results/ The future always seems like science fiction (http://lesswrong.com/lw/j1/stranger_than_history/ http://lesswrong.com/lw/j1/stranger_than_history/).