3 ms·
In to machine learning, met him personally a few years ago. Very interesting guy. I don't necessarily think all of his stuff is crazy outlandish. The key to th
by agibsonccc 12y ago
In to machine learning, met him personally a few years ago.
Very interesting guy. I don't necessarily think all of his stuff is crazy outlandish. The key to think about with some of his theories is that his projections (stuff happening in the next 25 years) may not be all that impossible. Just like predicting a startup will fail 90% of the time and you'll likely be right, you can also say the same for crazy predictions like this. If we map his predictions to things that people 50 years ago were saying about our current tech now, some weren't too far off the mark, and we even surpassed some of the predictions (See the world's fair in the 30s as a good example of this)
That being said, he has still done some solid work in speech processing, he's definitely not just some crazy scientist. Google hired him FOR moonshot projects. If someone's not crazy enough to attempt them, who will?
- EleventhSun 12y agoThe 90% fail / 10% success analogy is a kind of helpful way to put things in context, thanks for your input. Technology is a bit of a wild beast, I feel like Dr Kurzweil is almost the personification of its unpredictability/mystery in some ways.