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I've had many an argument with baby-boomers (who bought into the housing market at dirt cheap prices 30 years ago) regarding this same concept. I told them whe
by zezonx 12y ago
I've had many an argument with baby-boomers (who bought into the housing market at dirt cheap prices 30 years ago) regarding this same concept.
I told them when interest rates move up from 3.5%, home prices would decrease proportionately, netting to the same monthly cost.
I WAS WRONG.
I was using logic to describe the illogical. Most people don't view real estate as an investment: to most, it's a place you can call home that makes you feel warm and fuzzy.
So what happened when interest rates went from 3.5% -> 4.5%?
-Demand increased: as people on the sidelines got nervous that rates would keep going up, they bit the bullet.
-Increased demand caused prices to increase.
-The price increase led to further demand from nervous buyers sitting on the sidelines, not wanting to miss out on their chance to own a home.
-Finally, in my area anyway, I'm seeing absolutely insane ask prices, but less people are buying. Eventually, stubborn sellers will have to lower their asks to make a deal, but that can take some time.
At a certain point, this doesn't work anymore as people can only stretch themselves so thin, but at least from 2011 (the "bottom") -> 2014, this is my assessment of what happened.
- buckbova 12y agoIt needs to get up to 6 or 7% and stay there for a while. Shake out the investment buyers and acheive a healthy equilibrium of buyers and sellers.
- pessimizer 12y agoA historically percentage of recent buyers have been cash buyers who don't care about shifts in interest rates. A historically low proportion have been first-time buyers, who always need loans, and tend to lower down payments that trigger insurance requirements. The market in middle-class single-family housing purchased through a mortgage has been pretty crap for a long time now.
- NoMoreNicksLeft 12y agoNew business practices could delay prices coming down for a long time. Certain companies are buying up all the housing they can... mostly foreclosures and the like, because they can offer the cash asking price at the end of the auction. But this puts pressure on prices to stay high by reducing supply. But they've also been buying up real estate on the traditional market too, for rental units.