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It's easier to figure out if correlations mean something if they make intuitive sense. We're not talking about knit caps, we're talking about the notion that ki
by gfodor 13y ago
It's easier to figure out if correlations mean something if they make intuitive sense. We're not talking about knit caps, we're talking about the notion that kids are more likely to be successful if they have two parents raising them instead of one, all other things being equal. This is borderline common sense, just like it is also borderline common sense to suppose that kids having parents who are uneducated drug addicts are less likely to succeed than those who have successful educated parents.
- danielweber 13y agoThe knit cap is simply to point out the ridiculousness of the problem. Breast-feeding is a common issue where there is the "intuitive sense" but it's really a "just-so story." There's "well, it's just common sense" theories that turned out to be useless when studied by smart people that weren't blinded by "well of course we will find some effect from this" bias. Seriously, compare the life outcomes of single-parent households by breaking out the reasons for single-parenthood. http://www.clasp.org/resources-and-publications/states/0086.pdf http://www.clasp.org/resources-and-publications/states/0086.... There is a lot more going on than "no dad -> sucky results." Zuck needs to figure out what the real causes are before pouring another $100,000,000 down the drain.