There has been one poll of the 47 conducted since January 2012 which has shown a lead for independence. All others have shown a lead of between 3 and 32 points

There has been one poll of the 47 conducted since January 2012 which has shown a lead for independence. All others have shown a lead of between 3 and 32 points for the Scotland remaining in the union. The two most recent polls I'm aware of show a 3 point and 15 point lead respectively (both for rejecting independence) The low one comes from a polling company consistently showing the smallest leads, the high one from a company showing the largest leads. Looking at all polls somewhere in high single figures with wide error bars would probably be the safest assumption. I'm not saying it won't happen but the suggestion that it's a small margin suggests it's more likely than it really is. Slightly out of date (to end last month) polling data here: http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/scottish-independence-referendum http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/scottish-independence-referendu...