Yeah, though this is napkin calculations, 10% chance of $100M exit is wayyyy too high. I would love for someone to cite a real figure, but I would guess it's le

Yeah, though this is napkin calculations, 10% chance of $100M exit is wayyyy too high. I would love for someone to cite a real figure, but I would guess it's less than 0.5%. Having been through a $50M acquisition with some options, it's really not worth the risk at all. I keep with the opinion: anyone who sacrifices salary for options is a fool. I also suspect the people getting ripped off here tend to be younger people who don't really know what they're worth, don't know just how much money they're giving up.