3 ms·
The common factor across most political systems is that political/economic systems tend to carry on with the way they are going until they either proactively re
by westiseast 12y ago
The common factor across most political systems is that political/economic systems tend to carry on with the way they are going until they either proactively reform or hit a wall (a crisis or crash). The article explains well Japan's faults - without a definitive crash, politicians continued in their support of poor economic policies for a long, long time.
A few commenters argue that China is different - it has different features, but the above tendency will prevail here. Chinese politicians, businessmen and economists are hugely invested in a system that is top heavy, vastly corrupt and built around pillars of cheap labour, property/development and credit-based investment. Politically speaking, they are also committed to a system based around media control, repression, lack of debate and 'stability' (ie. no change of the political status quo).
My personal fear - my house, family and business are all in China - is that in the face of an economic crisis, we will also see a backwards slide into repression as the party attempts to put an iron grip on the economy AND public opinion.
My great hope is that China will see a few years of correction - letting the people's income catch up with the bubbles, supported by a government that is aware of the problems and motivated to act. Let's see...