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The fact the we can't manufacture transistors cheaper doesn't mean we won't see big jumps in compute value.We could seem improvements from fpga's(500x max),appr
by hershel 12y ago
The fact the we can't manufacture transistors cheaper doesn't mean we won't see big jumps in compute value.We could seem improvements from fpga's(500x max),approximate computing(100x-1000x), packaging(3x-10x) or the radical option of analog computing(6-9 orders of magnitude for brain simulation etc).
Also, there's still huge amount of value to unlock from software, interfaces and the rest.Just look at the iphone where most of the value comes from a great touch interface and an app store. Moore's law is just a bonus.
- sliverstorm 12y ago500x performance improvement from using fpgas? Where do you get this number?
- hershel 12y agoAsics can max out at about 1000x , and zvi orbach has a recent column talking about how to make an fpga with 50% efficiency of asic. http://www.eetimes.com/author.asp?doc_id=1322021 http://www.eetimes.com/author.asp?doc_id=1322021
- sliverstorm 12y agoI must have misunderstood, I thought you were saying FPGA's will surpass CPU's 500-fold.