I think the relevant statistic here is obscured with faulty logic. The important thing is that, of people who subscribe to Hulu or Netflix, almost 50% more are

I think the relevant statistic here is obscured with faulty logic. The important thing is that, of people who subscribe to Hulu or Netflix, almost 50% more are cord cutters than 3 years ago. If you make an assumption that this number will continue to increase at the same rate, in 11 years you will have 75% penetration: 12.7 * (18.1/12.7)^5 (-4). And, in the following 3 years, cable will be completely wiped out.